OK so I’m really glad that I’m not a professional technology pundit, since all the predictions from my last post turned out to be wrong. Even the name! What the hell? I’m pretty sure that I’m going to be there in line for the thing on the first day, but “iPad”? It sounds like something that the menstrual product industry would market for “young lady’s first period.” “iSlate” was so much better.

I’d still love to see the iPad enable some cool peripheral needs. I understand why they didn’t showcase that as a major use of this thing, but I’m hoping that the SDK will let programmers create apps that enable the iPad to be used as an input device — the 1000-sensor multitouch screen would make it pretty compelling for that. I mean if you watch the Brushes app demo, you’ll get an idea of what you could do with this in something like Photoshop or Illustrator.

John Gruber got to play with one a bunch and said that the main thing that he (and it seemed everyone else there) noticed about the experience is how fast it is. And it’s Apple’s own chip in this beast — a 1 Ghz Apple A4 chip. This is going to drive Apple’s bid toward dominance as the “largest mobile device maker in the world”

Apple now owns and controls their own mobile CPUs. There aren’t many companies in the world that can say that. And from what I saw today, Apple doesn’t just own and control a mobile CPU, they own and control the hands-down best mobile CPU in the world. Software aside (which is a huge thing to put aside), it may well be that no other company could make a device today matching the price, size, and performance of the iPad. They’re not getting into the CPU business for kicks, they’re getting into it to kick ass.

It seems inevitable that they’ll try to put one of these babies into a new version of the iPhone, and then, well holy crap. They’ll need to call it the 3GS^2

Peripheral

I wish I’d been right about the magnetic induction stand, because I think that would’ve been a lot cooler than the flip-around carrying case thing that they’re going to ship this with, but it makes sense that they’re going to have the same 30-pin power/data connection that the iPhone/iPod have. Apple has a history (that they seem to have abandoned) of just drastically changing what’s available in the way of interfaces or peripherals on new devices. Remember how aghast people were that the iMac had no 3.5″ floppy drive? Earlier than that, I think there was a big stink when they did SCSI instead of parallel ports on their boxes. Given this history, it made sense to me that they might want to make the sync interactions of the device entirely wireless. But given the existing commitment to 30-pin connectors, it feels a little more “new Apple” that they kept this tech in the device.

I’ll leave the public predictions to people who know a lot more about the history and industry on these things, but it was fun to speculate. I can’t wait to download the SDK for iPad — I should have it later today — and I’m of course hyper-excited to get one in 60 days. Still trying to decide though whether I care about the 3G access. At this point, hearing that AT&T is willing to sell me an unlimited 3G data plan for $29.95 is sort of like hearing that shit sandwiches are 75% off.

With no pundit reputation to screw up, I stand here unashamed and ready to be proven wrong. Here are my predictions for what the mythical Apple tablet computer will be all about.

It will be called the ‘iSlate’

Cool name. NYTimes editor Bill Keller called it a version of that name (”the new Apple slate”) at one point awhile back, and it just fits nicely. Also Apple owns islate.com.

There will be an awesome accessory

The iPhone comes with an accessory that manages to actually up the cool factor — its headphones. The iSlate will have one if its own: a sleek cradle that will fulfill the functionalities of a stand (allowing the iSlate to sit upright for easy seated viewing), and a charging station, using magnetic induction as its power delivery mechanism, and enabling Apple’s designers to avoid placing a power port on the device itself. I’m also predicting as part of this that it will support over-the-air sync only.

Part of the pitch will be for use as an accessory

Not a big part, mind you, but I think there will be significant emphasis on using this as a secondary input device for an existing computer — as a drawing tablet or a multi-function “hotkeys” device or something. This could just be wishful thinking on my part, but I just can’t get past the idea that Apple wants people to view this as a computing device whose primary attraction is that it lends itself to a paradigm-shifting generality of use. That means fulfilling the roles of computer, television, magazine, and yeah, Wacom tablet.

More importantly will be the idea that the iSlate fits into your life in a certain way — as your “on-the-go” device; even more so than the iPhone, this is the thing you take to meetings, take on short trips, etc. Auto-syncing important documents and whatnot over the air will be a big deal.

It will run something beefier than iPhone OS

Maybe not full-on OS X, but I agree with John Gruber that they’re not going to just spooge the iPhone OS onto the device:

in the same way that it made no sense for Apple to design the iPhone OS to run Mac software, it makes little sense for a device with a 7-inch (let alone larger) display to run software designed for a 3.5-inch display.

I also don’t think that the file system will be completely hidden away a la the iPhone and that the only way you’ll be able to interact with the device is through apps. If this is to try and be a general-purpose computing device, there has to be some kind of file system access, even if it’s severely limited. Another piece of evidence for it being something somewhere between iPhone OS and full-on OS X is the WWAN (as in 3G) network information reporting in Snow Leopard.

OK — that seems like prognostication enough for now. Can’t wait for January 26th/27th.